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An Exponentially Embedded Least-Squares Framework for Nonlinear Acid Battery Discharge Curve Modeling and Forecasting

By: Jiayang Xiao 1, Kaijia Luo 2, Junnan Zhong 3
1School of Chemical Engineering and Light Industry, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510006, China
2School of Computer Science and Technology, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510006, China
3College of Electronics and Information Engineering, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518060, China

Abstract

To tackle low efficiency and poor cross-condition universality in traditional constant-current experiments for predicting lead-acid batteries’ remaining discharge time, this study proposes a least squares-based exponential modeling approach. A universal discharge prediction model for 20A–100A is developed, using segmented functions: quadratic relationships for low currents (20A < I ≤ 50A) to reflect nonlinear electrochemical self-catalysis, and linear modeling for high currents (50A < I ≤ 100A) per Fick's diffusion control theory. Experimental results validate the robustness of the proposed model, with mean relative errors remaining within 5.48% across all tested currents. Notably, the prediction curve for the typical 55A case exhibits a high degree of consistency with actual discharge trends, demonstrating the model's accuracy and reliability. The innovation of this study lies in the development of a universal discharge prediction model that combines exponential functions with segmented current relationships, providing a more accurate and efficient solution for battery discharge prediction. Future research directions will focus on improving the model's adaptability to varying temperatures, refining the correction mechanisms for variable-current conditions, and integrating battery health-state assessments to further enhance the universality and applicability of the model in diverse industrial scenarios.